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SAMPLE OF
CANSLIM.net News
Monthly Newsletter |
About This Newsletter:
This newsletter is published at the end of each month. A link is
emailed to members as soon as it is available and a handy print
version is sent via US mail.
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SAMPLE OF
CANSLIM.net News
Monthly Newsletter |
Market Conditions Section:
Reviews past month's market action. Something can always be learned
from a quick review.

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SAMPLE OF
CANSLIM.net News
Monthly Newsletter |
Markets Leading Groups Section: See
what industry groups are leading the markets by the number of high-ranked
companies making new 52-week highs.

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SAMPLE OF
CANSLIM.net News
Monthly Newsletter |
Investing For The New Millennium:
A monthly article from site founder, Ken Gruneisen, a CANSLIM
Certified expert.

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SAMPLE OF
CANSLIM.net News
Monthly Newsletter |
Stocks to Watch in This New Market
Section:
Each month our research staff profiles several companies that are
worthy of purchase consideration under the guidelines outlined in the
book "How to Make Money in Stocks".

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SAMPLE OF
CANSLIM.net News
Monthly Newsletter |
Featured Stocks Month in Review Section:
Each month we review all of our currently featured stocks. We also do
this on a daily basis on the CANSLIM.net Featured Stocks Page and
regularly throughout the month in the CANSLIM.net Daily After-Market
Update (see
here)Notice the "%gain/loss
since featured" column. (Note: This is a new feature. The table
in this sample was taken from a more recent issue.)

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SAMPLE OF
CANSLIM.net News
Monthly Newsletter |
Educational Articles:
Written by professionals, these educational studies help you build
better trading knowledge.

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DOW 10,542.5 YTD
-2.23% | S&P 500 1,198.78 YTD
-1.07% | Nasdaq 2,075.73 YTD
-4.58% |
|
CURRENT |
MARKET |
CONDITIONS |
|
|
A overview of the
current market conditions - the important "M" in CAN SLIM®.
When
the Up Market Stops Going Up
Right
out of the box let me say I believe the market has
some upside to it. The internal market indicators
remain positive. However, we are now starting to realize a
rotation out of certain sectors and a move into more undervalued areas. I have observed that on many occasions the companies with the
poorest fundamentals have been among those making the biggest price
jumps. Many stocks that have been big
movers will be questioned concerning their forward
looking
guidance and the outlook of their fundamentals. At some point in the future
these anomalies will
have to reverse.
In
hot, up-trending markets investors who believe to have
employed good
investing disciplines are tempted to cheat against the
rules of their systems
because it appears the market won’t stop going up.
This has worked for the past year, but the reality is
that the market will occasionally stop going up for at least a while.
When the market does stop going up, investors may remember
what it was like when stocks went down fast and
furiously.
While
the current upward move in the market has continued,
overall market risk has increased quite a bit. A pullback is expected and
would be welcomed by most “experts” at this time,
but they have hardly proven reliable predictors in the
past. Many believe that a five to ten
percent retracing would be healthy for the major
averages.
The rub is, not all stocks are going to pull back
exactly in line with market. In fact, in the event of
a more significant decline for the indices, some
individual stocks are
going to be sold off more violently. Downside exposure
in some issues could easily be
as much as 25% to 50%.
Which
leads me to my point. We can't say which stocks are going
to go down
and how far they might drop. The more important question
is, "Which high-ranked stocks will hold
their ground, suffer only modest declines, then come back
and continue to increase in
price?"
As a
preemptive move against the next slide in the market,
review your sell discipline and know the points at
which you'll exit your existing positions. Equally
important is to reevaluate your portfolio’s CAN SLIM®
characteristics to insure against degradation in any
issues' fundamentals (earnings) that could prove even more costly
should the
market retreat. This may be a good time to sell the
weakest links among your holdings, and to be looking
to add better stocks
after the market adjusts and digests the last ten
months of gains. Assuming
all of your stock holdings are still in a position of
strength, that still doesn’t make them immune from a hit.
Increasing revenues, earnings, and
accelerated growth will almost always equal upward stock price
movement, and that is what the game
is all about. But paying attention to the broad
market direction is crucial to your success. One
more important point to remember is this - just because it
is
a good CAN SLIM® stock doesn’t mean you should ride it
down into a losing position. Considering the
recent volatility, you may even want to
tighten up your stop-losses so you can realize those
unrealized profits (paper profits) in your portfolio.
As an
investor of other people's money, I am constantly
evaluating the levels of investment and market risks.
They say the market "climbs a wall of worry"
as
stocks and the major indices continue to rise,
bringing on higher and higher levels of risk. William
O’Neil makes two good points when he says, ”you
don’t always have to be invested” and “you can
time the market”. Mitigating downside risk is
a very
important component of successful investing.
- Dee Hendon
| Dee
Hendon is a professional technical market analyst with
years of experience in investing and using CAN SLIM®. |
|
|
MARKETS |
LEADING |
GROUPS |
|
|
You stack the odds of
making a winning trade in your favor by choosing a
leading company in a leading industry group, so when
buying stocks be sure to choose one with plenty of
company, that is a stock trading among a group
of several strong-performing peers!
Familiarize yourself with the list of the top
performing industry groups and leading stocks listed
below. These symbols and related companies ARE NOT
intended to be construed as a list of timely and
proper CAN SLIM® - based choices.* These pace-setters in
each of the currently top-ranked groups listed may not
presently fit within the guidelines we suggest
adhering to. The point is that it is always wise to
choose leaders in the same or a very similar business
to that of the strongest stocks in the market. Find
companies that resemble other strong stocks'
leadership characteristics.
CANSLIM.net's most
timely buy candidates are analyzed by our experts in
great detail in the "Stocks
to Watch in This New Market
"section.
|
RANK |
GROUP NAME |
GROUP LEADERS
SYMBOL ,% FROM 52WK HIGH, # OF DAYS MAKING
NEW HIGHS |
|
1 |
HEALTH SERVICES |
RMD, -1.64%, 3 |
SIE, -2.11%, 3
| CVH,
-2.53%, 4 |
TRI, -2.72%, 5
|
UNH, -2.80%, 4 |
RTSX, -6.55%, 3
|
|
2 |
ENERGY |
LUFK, -0.61%, 6 |
KWK, -2.69%, 3
|
HAL, -3.18%, 3 |
VLO, -3.82%, 5
| SSL,
-6.84%, 3 |
|
3 |
CONSUMER NON |
GIL, 1.39%, 3 |
KSWS, -7.20%, 3
|
BEBE, -10.30%, 3 | PVH, -1.92%
| COH, -1.96%
| CRI, -3.50%
| JAH, -4.31%
| MPAC,
-6.29% |
|
4 |
RETAIL |
MHS, -2.98%, 4 |
ANF, -3.24%, 5
|
AEOS, -6.24%, 3 | JOSB, -1.28%
| GCO, -1.75%
| JCP, -2.10%
| ORLY, -2.20%
| AAP, -2.27%
|
|
5 |
CONSUMER DURABLES |
PTC, -4.33%, 3 |
CTHR, -6.12%, 5 | RCRC,
-2.62% |
|
6 |
WHOLESALE |
WSO, -7.37%, 4 |
PDCO, -16.30%, 3 | MCK,
-0.11% | HSIC,
-2.05% | LKQX,
-3.24% | DPZ,
-3.68% | AIT,
-4.75% |
|
7 |
SPECIALTY RETAIL |
MIK, -5.14%, 3 | BKS, -2.27%
| HIBB, -3.72%
| CPRT, -15.26%
|
|
8 |
TELECOMMUNICATIONS |
LIFE, -8.57%, 4 | CHL, -3.33%
| CMTL, -17.81%
|
|
9 |
DRUGS |
HITK, 1.46%, 3 | IVGN, -0.73%
| TECH, -3.55%
| DNA, -4.54%
| GENZ, -7.74%
| TEVA,
-9.08% |
|
10 |
ELECTRONICS |
ITRI, -7.48%, 4 | LB, -0.55%
| AFFX, -2.14%
| TXN, -3.80%
| TRMB, -5.21%
| APH, -7.01%
|
|
11 |
FINANCIAL SERVICES |
NICK, -14.63%, 4 | AMTD, -2.05%
| LM, -3.73%
| ADVNB, -4.35%
| STU, -5.26%
| SJT, -5.26%
|
|
12 |
LEISURE |
MCRI, -11.84%, 3 | PENN, -0.71%
| IDR, -0.99%
| DRI, -2.08%
| PZZA, -2.54%
| CHH, -3.25%
|
|
13 |
MANUFACTURING |
SNHY, -8.77%, 4 | AME, 0.12%
| BDK, -1.75%
| ROP, -1.92%
| ENR, -3.58%
| IMGC, -3.72%
|
|
14 |
REAL ESTATE |
UPFC, -0.94%, 3 | CTO, 1.49%
| CBG, -0.77%
| VNO, -1.33%
| CARS, -1.70%
| PSA, -1.94%
|
Notes:
- This is a list of
the strongest groups based on the total number of
new highs achieved in the group. For example, 1
stock making 10 new highs is the same as 10 stocks
making 1 new high.
- If there were less
than four stocks in the list of stocks making new
highs then the top five stocks in that group were
added to the list.
- Any stock that was
more than 20% off its 52-week high was
eliminated from the list regardless of any other
characteristics.
- CANSLIM.net News Staff |
|
INVESTING
FOR |
THE NEW |
MILLENNIUM |
|
|
Making
the Choice Between Holding and Swapping?
Group Action is Your Guide
by
Kenneth J. Gruneisen, Registered Investment Advisor, Source Capital Group,
Inc. Members NASD/SIPC
More people than ever are reading this monthly publication, and
thus I have been receiving a greater amount of correspondence and an increasing
number of questions concerning detailed investing tactics. The ins and outs of
the actual successful implementation of the CAN SLIM® investment approach can
present many stumbling blocks for investors.
The first advice I have for anyone who is still struggling with the
details of this approach would be to read William J. O’Neil’s latest edition
of “How to Make Money in Stocks”. I
know many people who read the book repeatedly, and they insist that doing so is
a big help to them in reinforcing the proper buying and selling guidelines.
Those who have asked me about
portfolio concentration have noted that O' Neil recommends an investors’
portfolio should not have more than 7-8 stocks, and that 3-4
stocks are probably enough for the average portfolio. Of course, this is provided that the investor makes
disciplined entries and exits always under the guidelines explained in the book.
Concentrating your funds in just a few well-selected stocks is an
important and smart part of successful CAN SLIM® investing.
You will
be better off shopping for candidates in a top performing industry group on the
rise, not a group that is weakening.
The past few years have taught
investors to expect volatility, sometimes rather extreme volatility such as 30%
or 50% swings in a stock's price over as short of a period as perhaps
only a day or two. Being on the
wrong end of a substantial move such as that can be devastating!
I’ve said it before and will say again that many people are simply not
prepared emotionally, or financially, to handle the volatility that individual
stocks can sometimes dish out. We
can almost consider the 10% and 15% moves we see as more friendly
hints, yet a lightning fast loss of 10-15% often causes excessive emotion
for investors. Likewise, a quick 10-15%
profit, for the average investor who is desperately thirsty for a victorious
trade, can often lead to undue celebrating.
Moves like that are actually rather commonplace in the stock market. The more important point we must always work at understanding
and determining is whether or not a change is taking place with respect to a
stock’s much more significant upward or downward trend.
In a bullish market environment
with many breakouts occurring, it may seem as though every other day there is
another list of excellent looking new breakouts showing up.
It can become quite a challenge to make the decisions between holding a
portfolio’s current winners and selling to take on new positions.
You are probably wise to hold and give your winning positions the benefit
of the doubt and a lot of room to fluctuate.
This especially true if you understand what the company does and have a
good feel for its outlook, and you can see that its upcoming financial
comparison looks like easy to beat earnings numbers from the year earlier. Be
patient with any winners, since 3 out of 4 stocks will see their
prices rise or fall in response to the overall market’s direction.
I recently explained in a
“Ken’s Mail Bag” question how come tightly trailing a winner with a
“stop-loss order” is not always recommended.
I find it extremely difficult to suggest a set percentage that one should
be willing to let any winner correct. I
say this because in the mid-1990’s I recall seeing America Online (AOL) rise
six-fold in price, but during that phenomenal rise it at one point corrected by 50%.
Years later, when I was up substantially for numerous clients and myself
in a company called Network Solutions (later acquired by VeriSign), I endured a
similar such correction. I knew
what I had my hands on, and seeing that the company had exceptional sales
revenues and earnings growth and it played a very key leadership role in the
Internet sector, I actually took advantage of the correction and acquired a more
meaningful stake. When the broad
market failed in March of 2000, the Internet group went down swiftly, and the
sell signals were very blunt. Thankfully,
we preserved some outstanding gains an new better than to try to force profits
from an uncooperative market.
I suggest that one can manage a
portfolio best by first removing positions in groups that appear to be on the
decline or moving down substantially in IBD’s 197 Industry Groups list.
Then put your focus on making your new buys only in leading industry
groups. You will be better off shopping for candidates in a top
performing industry group on the rise, not a group that is weakening.
Example – Lennar Corp. (NYSE-
LEN) is in the homebuilding group, a group featuring numerous issues that are
getting into technical trouble as their charts are weakening.
After a lengthy period during which a substantial advance was made, this
company’s recent series of lower price highs and high-volume price
deterioration under its 50 DMA are signs of exhaustion.
If you own a former leader like this one and you are seeing profits erode
(or if you are in a losing position), you are probably wise to take the hint the
stock’s chart has already been giving you.
“Don’t fight the tape”, or so they say.
Kenneth
J. Gruneisen - A Registered Investment Advisor &
Registered Principal, Ken manages a Source Capital Group
(Member NASD,SIPC) branch office and offers personalized
assistance. Investors with a significant financial
interest in equities may inquire about opening an account
by calling the office
locally at (954) 785-1990 or 1-888-237-8399 or emailing to
kgruneisen@sourcegrp.com Further information is always available upon request.
Contact us if
you know anyone that may have an interest in receiving
this or any of our other reports.
Comments contained in the body of this report are
technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of
Source Capital Group, Inc. The material herein has been
obtained from sources believed to be reliable and
accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be
guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect
transactions, including transactions contrary to any
recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities
mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any
recommendation contained in this report may not be
suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an
offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the
purchase or sale of any securities. Source Capital Group,
Inc. is a NASD/SIPC member firm.
|
|
|
STOCKS TO |
WATCH IN THIS |
NEW MARKET |
|
Our
staff of experts researches and then compiles a list
of selected stocks which warrant further investigation
by investors. These stocks show strong potential for a
share price breakout based on the CAN SLIM® investment
methodology. These are not necessarily buy
recommendations. If anytime
throughout the month our contributors find a
particular stock that has similar characteristics as
the ideas featured below we will produce one of our
CANSLIM.net Stock Bulletins or a CANSLIM.net Stock
Alert Report. These reports will be emailed as a direct link to
all subscribers.
|
Corillian
Corporation by
Kenneth
J. Gruneisen
|
http://www.corillian.com/
|
|
Ticker
Symbol: CORI
(NasdaqNM)
|
Industry
Group:
Computer Software - financial
|
Shares
Outstanding:
36.6 Million
|
|
Price:
$7.56 (at close 01/30/04)
|
Day's
Volume: 346,400
(at close 01/02/04)
|
Shares
In Float: 21.6
Million
|
|
52
Wk High: $8.15
|
50-Day
Avg Vol: 802,400
|
Up/Down
Vol Ratio: 1.8
|
|
Pivot
Point: $7.55
(11/07/03 high plus .10)
|
Pivot
Point +5% = Max Buy Price:
$7.92
|

Financials,
StockTalk,
News, Chart,
SEC, Zacks
Reports
Profile:
Corillian Corporation is a provider of solutions that enable banks, brokers, financial portals and other financial service providers to rapidly deploy Internet-based financial services. The Company's solutions allow consumers to conduct financial transactions, view personal and market financial information, pay bills and access other financial services on the Internet.
Customers including Chase Manhattan Bank, Bank One, Wachovia Bank and SunTrust Bank
use the Corillian Voyager software platform. The company has recently turned the corner to profitability after years
of shrinking losses. The most recent quarter ended Sept 30, 2003 sales revenues
were reported up +15% from $10 million to $11.6
million and earnings per share were +$0.04 versus -$0.08
over the year earlier period . In the just prior June comparison its sales
revenues rose 28% from $9 million to $11.5 million while
earnings per share were +$0.05, up from -$0.13 a year
earlier. The number of quality mutual funds with an ownership interest
rose from 14 to 23 from Jun ’03 to Dec '03.
What
to Look For and Look Out For:
A violation of the upward trend line would be an early indication that the stock
might be heading for trouble. Doing so at any time soon would also negate
its recent breakout gains which occurred on above average volume as it recently
rose above its pivot point and its November highs. The upward trend line
(rising green
line) should be the first important support to watch and see that it stays
above, while any deterioration under it or its 50-day moving average (now at $6.15)
would of course be a much more serious concern, especially so if either might
occur on heavy volume. For now the stock appears to be an excellent buy
candidate, but the fact that it is low priced and has already risen almost
eightfold since May 2003 adds a lot of risk that there could be a sharp wave of
profit taking upon any hint of disappointment. Needless
to say, strict selling discipline could be very important here. Very
little resistance would be expected in the stock now, however the fact
that it traded substantially higher in 2000-2001 should be noted.
Technical
Analysis: On
January 23rd CORI spiked up to new 52-week highs, rising above its 11/07/03 high
($7.45) on volume that was nearly three times its 50-day average daily volume.
Since piercing the old resistance (the flat green
line) it has been hovering near those highs. Volume has spiked up with the
recent price increases and generally dried as it consolidated, suggesting there
are not a lot of shareholders presently in a mood to head for the exits.
|
Hansen Natural Corp. by
Kenneth
J. Gruneisen
|
http://www.hansens.com
|
|
Ticker
Symbol:
HANS (NasdaqSC)
|
Industry
Group:
Beverages - soft drinks
|
Shares
Outstanding:
10.4 Million
|
|
Price:
$9.00 (at close 1/30/04)
|
Day's
Volume: 13,500
(at close 1/02/04)
|
Shares
In Float:
4.98 Million
|
|
52
Wk High: $10.00
|
50-Day
Avg Vol: 18,600
|
Up/Down
Vol Ratio: 1.2
|
|
Pivot
Point:
$9.50
(11/13/04 high plus 0.10)
|
Pivot
Point +5% = Max Buy Price:
$9.97
|

Financials,
StockTalk,
News, Chart,
SEC, Zacks
Reports
Profile:
Hansen markets and distributes alternative beverage category natural sodas, fruit juices, fruit juice and soy smoothies, energy drinks, teas,
children's multi-vitamin juice products and still water sold under the Hansen's brand
name. Nutrition bars and cereals are also sold under the Hansen's brand,
with business primarily in the United States The company's management owns 43% interest, so they remain quite
motivated to preserve and enhance shareholder value. Recent insider buying
has been reported even after the stock has traded up to new all-time highs.
I find that to be at least one more strong vote of confidence.
Only a small number of funds have an ownership interest (a source reported only
2 funds) totaling nearly 18% of its shares.
The beverage group isn't exactly bubbling right now, so I recall seeing a
frowning face on the character at IBD's checkup service, yet the timeliness of
Hansen's "functional drinks" is something worth noting in light of
strength among several nutritional supplement companies. Its
earnings for the past three quarters reported March, June, and September '03
comparisons were +50%, +58%, +58% respectively, yet its
annual earnings history has demonstrated ups and downs.
What
to Look For and Look Out For: Price
is a concern, as low priced stocks which are in short supply and so thinly
traded can obviously be extremely volatile issues. Also, consider that
this company is a relatively unknown entity among the institutional investing
crowd. The recent breakout was a technical buy signal, so near term the price
could quickly increase and close too far beyond its pivot point to be a smart
buy under the guidelines. Be careful and disciplined about any purchase order's
timing and pricing, and also be equally diligent about limiting losses and
keeping them small. Expect that volatility could lead to some tricky
action, and know that the broad market action may be a minor influence or
substantial factor. Use
the prior support levels including its 50-day
moving average line (thin blue) and upward trend line (slanted green)
as obvious points where you might be wise to place your mental price alerts or
actual sell stop orders. A violation or close under any of them would be cause for
greater concern and a possible technical signal to exit, especially if the price
weakness occurs accompanied by higher than average trading volume.
Technical
Analysis: When
it lost ground on heavy volume on 01/07/04 HANS looked like it was getting into
trouble. But for the next two weeks the stock hovered near its 50-day
moving average line, building on
a 10-week base.
On 01/21/04 it
rose sharply from that important short term average. The high volume gains on
that session and the following day allowed it to clear its pivot point,
signaling that it may reasonably be expected to continue trending higher.
Note
- The CANSLIM.net News editor, Andrew Hansen, is in no
way connected with Hansen Natural Corp.
|
Valueclick
Inc. - by Mark Van Kampen
|
www.valueclick.com
|
|
Ticker
Symbol:
VCLK (NasdaqNM)
|
Industry
Group:
Internet – e commerce
|
Shares
Outstanding:
74.8M
|
|
Price:
$10.45 (at close 01/30/04)
|
Day's
Volume:482,000
(at close 01/30/04)
|
Shares
In Float:
68.70 Million
|
|
52
Wk High: $11.39
|
50-Day
Avg Vol: 1,225,000
|
Up/Down
Vol Ratio: 1.5
|
|
Pivot
Point:
$11.22 (10/15/03 high plus .10)
|
Pivot
Point +5% = Max Buy Price:
$11.78
|
Profile:
Valueclick
provides Internet advertising services to online
advertisers and publishers of independent Web sites.
On December 18, 2003, ValueClick announced
completion of the acquisition of Hi-Speed Media, a
provider of e-mail marketing services.
ValueClick raised guidance as the acquisition
is expected to be immediately accretive to earnings.
It turned the corner to profitability while the
company reported earnings versus year earlier losses
in each of the past four quarterly financial reports.
For the periods ended Dec ’02, Mar ’03, Jun
’03, and Sep ’03 the company’s sales revenues
improved 54%, 57%, 42% and 31%
respectively over the year earlier.
What
to Look For and Look Out For:
Higher volume without meaningful price progress
suggests that for the past week it has been
encountering resistance near its October highs, while
last Friday marked VCLK’s first day of quiet trading
since the stock market was closed to observe the MLK
holiday.
Continued flat-to-downward price action coupled
with quiet volume might form a handle pattern (the
best cup-with-handles have downward sloping handles),
however, rolling back to a close under $10 would
negate its 01/20/04 technical breakout.
If it possibly encroaches upon its 50 DMA (now
at $9.18), consider any violation a more
serious sell signal.
The long-term supporting upward trend line
shows another point to watch for support, however an 8%
stop loss would be triggered way before it dropped to
that level.
Earnings are scheduled for release before the
market opens on February 12th, always a
time when increased volatility can be expected.
Technical
Analysis:
Volume
has been extremely active since VCLK’s 1/20/04
breakout above its pivot point, previous to which VCLK
had formed a cup shaped base with the left side at
10/15/03.
Through the many weeks since it bottomed on
11/17/03 it had shown only one down day with above
average volume.
The near term price/volume action will
determine if a handle becomes more sharply defined,
perhaps adding more certainty to the bullish chart
pattern.
|
AU
Optronics Corp ADR - by Tate
Dwinnell
|
www.auo.com
|
|
Ticker
Symbol:
AUO (NYSE)
|
Industry
Group:
Computer- Peripheral Equipment
|
Shares
Outstanding:
403.34 Million
|
|
Price:
$15.10 (at close
01/30/04)
|
Day's
Volume:1,842,100
(at close 01/30/04)
|
Shares
In Float:
286.37
Mil
|
|
52
Wk High: $16.01
|
50-Day
Avg Vol: 1,793,100
|
Up/Down
Vol Ratio: 2.1
|
|
Pivot
Point:
$15.00 (10/21/03 high plus .10)
|
Pivot
Point +5% = Max Buy Price: $15.75
|

Financials, StockTalk,
News,
Chart
, SEC, Zacks
Reports
Profile:
AU
Optronics Corp., formerly Acer Display Technology,
Inc., manufactures and assembles TFT-LCD (thin-film
transistor liquid crystal display) panels. The
products are used in computers, consumer electronics
products such as DVD players and LCD televisions, with
large-size display panels ranging from 8.4
inches to larger than 20 inches.
Small to medium-sized display panels from 1.5
inches to 7 inches are also made by the company
for use in products such as digital cameras, digital
camcorders, mobile phones, car television monitors,
car navigation systems and personal digital assistants
(PDAs). As
a supplier to Hewlett Packard and Dell, this Taiwanese
company is fast becoming one of the dominant players
in the LCD field.
Earnings and sales revenue growth have been
accelerating rapidly in the last few quarters.
The most current unaudited financial report issued 01/29/04 for the quarter ended
December 31,2003 showed earnings increasing to +$0.51
per share, up markedly from a loss of -$0.06
per share in the year-ago period.
Those results were on the heels of a quarterly
sales revenue increase to $1.028 billion, up
from $459.8 million, a staggering 124%
rise over the year earlier period.
It looks like major institutions are impressed,
as institutional sponsorship has more than doubled in
the last six months from a reported 20 funds in
June ’03, to 42 funds in Dec ‘03.
With a 5th generation manufacturing
plant slated for completion in early 2005, they are in
position to also capitalize on the impending LCD
television boom.
Here is an article, detailing the state of the
industry: http://www.displaysearch.com/
What
to Look For and Look Out For:
The recent market volatility has prompted many strong
leaders to sell off, yet AUO looks poised to continue
in the direction of its recent breakout. It ended the week hovering above its Sept-Oct resistance
levels, but appeared to be doing some normal backing
and filling after 01/27/04 and 01/28/04 gaps up in
price. A
stop loss at 8% would be triggered long before
a technical sell signal upon any violation of the 50
DMA (now at $12.68). Don’t give it enough room to possibly re-test prior lows
that should offer long-term support near $11. Be advised that ADRs (American Depositary Receipts) are
interests in companies that have inherent additional
risks, as foreign firms may not be required to adhere
to the same strict accounting regulations of U.S.
companies. A
release of AUO’s audited results and a conference
call will be held on February 10th, which
could prove to be the catalyst for additional
volatility.
Technical
Analysis: Note
that the breakout above $15 was backed up by a
huge surge in trading volume, and on 01/28/04 it
cleared a five and a half month base.
This was a technical buy signal, yet the stock
has not surpassed the buy limit of $15.75.
In the midst of volatility among leaders and
distributional action on the broader market, AUO
remains in close range of its pivot point and seems to
have stabilized there. A look at its weekly chart reveals a significant long-term
breakout also occurred on its weekly chart, with the
price reaching all-time highs.
Each month our stock picks are
compiled by several expert contributors who hand-pick
these ideas:
Kenneth
J. Gruneisen - A
Registered Investment Advisor & Registered
Principal, Ken manages a Source Capital Group
(Member NASD,SIPC) branch office and offers
personalized assistance.
(954) 785-1990 or (888) 237-8399 or email kgruneisen@
sourcegrp.com |
Mark
Van Kampen
- an
independent investment analyst with more than 20
years of experience. mvankampen
@aol.com |
Tate
Dwinnell -
Private Investor. Holds a Western Washington University degree focused in
Mathematics and Economics and is a member of
the American
Association of Individual Investors
|
John
Derway - Vice President, Coburn
& Meredith. A
Stockbroker and Registered Investment Advisor for
25 years.
150 Trumbull Street, Hartford, CT 06103 1-800-825-2244
ext.334
jderway@
coburnfinancial.com |
Richard
Miller - Statistics
professional and serious trader with years of
technical analysis-based trading. He currently
manages six different portfolios. He maintains his
own website
of stock analysis. rwmill@yahoo.com1 |
|
|
|
|
|
FEATURED
STOCKS
|
MONTHLY |
REVIEW |
|
In the table below you will find every
stock that was currently featured by CANSLIM.net in the prior month.
|
Symbol/Company
Name/Industry Group |
Last |
Chg |
Date
High-
lighted |
Price
High-
Lighted |
% Gain / Loss
Since Feat. |
Resources |
Summary Notes |
HLEX -
NASDAQ
Health Extras
INSURANCE - Insurance Brokers |
$20.07 |
+$0.43 |
6/23/2005 |
$18.91 |
+6.13% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This issue
has steadily advanced since being featured at $18.91 on
06/23/05. |
CBG -
NYSE
C
B Richard Ellis Group
REAL ESTATE - Property Management/Developmen |
$43.86 |
+$0.72 |
6/20/2005 |
$41.63 |
+5.36% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Decent gains
since being featured on 6/20 at $41.63.
|
CLFC -
NASDAQ
Center Financial Corp Ca
BANKING - Savings & Loans |
$24.83 |
-$0.06 |
6/20/2005 |
$23.65 |
+4.99% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Most
recently featured at $23.65 on 06/20/05 and
has rallied nicely since.
Read here: |
POT -
NYSE
Potash Corp Saskatchewan
METALS & MINING - Nonmetallic Mineral Mining |
$95.58 |
-$1.07 |
6/14/2005 |
$94.49 |
+1.15% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Is slightly
higher than when it was first featured breaking out of a 5
month flat base with a pivot point of $92.10 on 06/14/05.
|
TDY -
NYSE
Teledyne Tech Inc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Technical Services |
$32.58 |
-$0.10 |
6/14/2005 |
$33.83 |
-3.69% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This is
slightly below where it was first featured on 06/14/05 |
PARL -
NASDAQ
Parlux Fragrances Inc
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Personal Products |
$27.67 |
-$0.32 |
6/13/2005 |
$28.15 |
-1.71% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This was
first featured at $28.15 on 06/13/2005 as it was breaking out
on above average volume through its pivot point.
Read
here: |
KWK -
NYSE
Quicksilver Resources
ENERGY - Independent Oil & Gas |
$63.93 |
-$0.25 |
6/9/2005 |
$58.19 |
+9.86% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This issue
was featured at $58.19 on 06/09/05 as it was breaking out of a
5 month ascending base.
Read
here: |
ADVNB -
NASDAQ
Advanta Corp Cl B
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services |
$28.16 |
-$0.68 |
6/7/2005 |
$26.32 |
+6.99% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This
stock has rallied +7% since it was first
featured at $26.32 on 06/07/05 as it was breaking out of an 8
month base.
Read
here: |
ELOS -
NASDAQ
Syneron Medical Ltd
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances & Equipment
|
$36.59 |
-$1.31 |
6/3/2005 |
$34.22 |
+6.93% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Recently
featured in a CANSLIM.net Stock Bulletin at $34.22 on
06/03/05(Read here). Has moved
slightly higher since. |
MGM -
NYSE
M
G M Mirage
MEDIA - Movie Production, Theaters |
$39.58 |
-$0.23 |
6/3/2005 |
$39.60 |
-0.05% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This issue
was featured at $39.60 on 06/03/05. (Read
here) and has moved sideways since. |
LM -
NYSE
Legg Mason Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Investment Brokerage - Regiona
|
$104.11 |
-$2.07 |
6/2/2005 |
$87.85 |
+18.51% |
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This leader
was first featured at $87.85 on 06/02/05. (Read
here) and has advanced +19% in the past five sessions. |
SQM -
NYSE
Sociedad Quimica Y Minra
CHEMICALS - Synthetics |
$100.00 |
-$0.70 |
6/2/2005 |
$90.51 |
+10.49% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This issue
was most recently featured at $90.51on 06/02/05. (Read
here). It has rallied +11% since then. |
XXIA -
NASDAQ
I
X I A
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor Equipment & Mate |
$19.44 |
+$0.01 |
6/2/2005 |
$20.14 |
-3.48% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This issue
was most recently featured at $20.14 on 06/02/05 (Read
here). It has since pulled back and found support at its
50 DMA. |
CME -
NYSE
Chicago Mercantile Xchng
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$295.50 |
-$10.45 |
6/2/2005 |
$228.37 |
+29.40% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This leader
was first featured on 06/02/05 at $228.37. (Read
here) and has rallied 30% since then. |
GOL -
NYSE
Gol Intelligent Airlines
TRANSPORTATION - Regional Airlines |
$30.06 |
+$0.30 |
6/1/2005 |
$34.01 |
-11.61% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Featured on
06/01/05 at $34.01.
Read
here. Then pulled back and now rests on 50 DMA. |
UPFC -
NASDAQ
United Panam Finl Corp
REAL ESTATE - Mortgage Investment |
$27.41 |
+$0.01 |
5/31/2005 |
$23.42 |
+17.04% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
First
featured on 05/31/05 at $23.42.
Read
here. Has advanced nicely since and closed the month at a
new 52-week high. |
STR -
NYSE
Questar Corp
UTILITIES - Gas Utilities |
$65.90 |
+$0.00 |
5/31/2005 |
$62.35 |
+5.69% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
First
featured at $62.35 on 05/31/05 and now remains perched near
highs. |
TPX -
NYSE
Tempur Pedic Intl Inc
MANUFACTURING - Textile Manufacturing |
$22.18 |
-$0.97 |
5/30/2005 |
$23.40 |
-5.21% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Pulling back
towards its 50 DMA. Featured in the June issue of CANSLIM.net
News Read here. |
SNHY -
NASDAQ
Sun Hydraulics Inc
MANUFACTURING - Industrial Equipment & Compone
|
$36.39 |
-$1.00 |
5/27/2005 |
$34.93 |
+4.18% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Featured on
5/27/2005
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report. Has been edging
higher since. |
TOL -
NYSE
Toll Brothers Inc
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - Residential Construction
|
$101.55 |
+$0.07 |
5/26/2005 |
$90.75 |
+11.90% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Recently
featured on 5/26/2005 in a
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report. Has moved higher
since. |
PVH -
NYSE
Phillips-Van Heusen Corp
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing
|
$32.69 |
+$0.12 |
5/26/2005 |
$31.07 |
+5.21% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Recently
featured on 5/26/2005 in a
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report. Has moved higher
since.
|
HOV -
NYSE
Hovnanian Enterprises A
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - Residential Construction
|
$65.20 |
+$0.10 |
5/26/2005 |
$61.20 |
+6.54% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
First
highlighted on 05/26/2005 in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report as it was breaking out of 5 month
base. Has advanced since. |
BEBE -
NASDAQ
Bebe Stores Inc
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Clothing
|
$26.47 |
-$0.81 |
5/23/2005 |
$24.92 |
+6.22% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Sits near
all-time highs since featured in
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report on 05/23/05.
(adjusted for 3:2 split) |
PNRA -
NASDAQ
Panera Bread Co Cl A
LEISURE - Specialty Eateries |
$62.09 |
+$0.09 |
5/23/2005 |
$61.86 |
+0.37% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Recently
featured on 5/23/2005 in
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report. Has moved a bit
higher since. |
PTRY -
NASDAQ
Pantry Inc
RETAIL - Grocery Stores |
$38.73 |
-$0.26 |
5/16/2005 |
$36.43 |
+6.31% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Featured on
5/16/2005 with a gap open to new highs in that day's
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report. Holding up well
since. |
PTEN -
NASDAQ
Patterson-Uti Energy Inc
ENERGY - Oil & Gas Drilling & Explorati |
$27.83 |
-$0.03 |
5/10/2005 |
$26.75 |
+4.04% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Featured on
05/10/2005 in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report after advancing is now pulling
back. |
OIS -
NYSE
Oil States International
ENERGY - Oil & Gas Equipment & Services |
$25.17 |
+$0.21 |
5/6/2005 |
$22.97 |
+9.58% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Immediately
moved a bit higher then quickly headed towards it's 50 DMA
where it found support after featured in
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report on 05/6/2005.
Remains perched near highs.
|
ABCO -
NASDAQ
Advisory Board Company
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$48.78 |
-$0.56 |
5/6/2005 |
$43.12 |
+13.13% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Featured in
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report with a cup with
handle like pattern. Has been trending upward since and now
sits near 52-week highs. |
BLUD -
NASDAQ
Immucor Inc
DRUGS - Diagnostic Substances |
$28.95 |
+$1.09 |
5/5/2005 |
$32.77 |
-11.66% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
First
featured on 05/05/05 in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report as it was breaking out of a sound
base. Also recently featured in a
CANSLIM.net Bulletin.
Has since dipped below 50 DMA. |
CB -
NYSE
Chubb
INSURANCE - Property & Casualty Insurance |
$85.61 |
-$0.08 |
5/4/2005 |
$83.62 |
+2.38% |
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Featured on
05/04/2005 in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report. Tested 50 DMA and now sits just
off of new highs.
|
DJO -
NYSE
D
J Orthopedics Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Appliances & Equipment
|
$27.43 |
-$0.17 |
5/3/2005 |
$26.19 |
+4.73% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
On 5/3/2005
this leader was featured in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report. Price now sits just above the 50
DMA and its prior base. |
IVGN -
NASDAQ
Invitrogen Corp
DRUGS - Biotechnology |
$83.29 |
-$0.05 |
5/2/2005 |
$74.68 |
+11.53% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Recently
featured on 5/2/2005 in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report. Has been moving higher since. |
ROP -
NYSE
Roper Industries Inc
MANUFACTURING - Diversified Machinery |
$71.37 |
-$0.08 |
5/2/2005 |
$68.13 |
+4.76% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Featured on
05/2/2005 in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report. Holding up since. |
CYH -
NYSE
Community Health System
HEALTH SERVICES - Hospitals |
$37.79 |
+$0.02 |
4/29/2005 |
$34.55 |
+9.38% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
The 04/29/05
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report featured this
leader. It immediately traded higher than tested its 50 DMA
several times and is now building a new base.
|
BCR -
NYSE
Bard C R Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments & Supplies
|
$66.51 |
-$0.44 |
4/29/2005 |
$70.00 |
-4.99% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Just closed
in lower half of session's range and well below its 50
DMA. First featured on
04/29/05. |
HCSG -
NASDAQ
Healthcare Svcs Group
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$20.08 |
+$0.30 |
4/20/2005 |
$24.52 |
-18.11% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
First
featured on 03/31/05 in the CANSLIM.net Mid-Day BreakOuts
Report (Read
here). Came under some strong selling pressure on 04/15 &
04/16 that pushed price well below 50 DMA and past any
investors stop loss point. It did convincingly reverse though
and soon after gapped open. Closed 3.5% from its 52-week high. |
JWN -
NYSE
Nordstrom Inc
RETAIL - Apparel Stores |
$67.97 |
-$0.38 |
3/31/2005 |
$55.27 |
+22.98% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
First
highlighted on 07/08/04 (Read
here) yet quickly declined. It was re-featured on 03/31/05
(Read
here) and was holding up well in a tough market. The nice
gap open on 05/05/05 set the stage for the stage higher
prices. This issue has enjoyed sizable gains since. |
URBN -
NASDAQ
Urban Outfitters Inc
RETAIL - Apparel Stores |
$56.69 |
-$1.66 |
3/7/2005 |
$47.63 |
+19.02% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This issue
was highlighted in the 03/07/05 in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report. Retailers have been acting
strong in recent weeks. |
COH -
NYSE
Coach Inc
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear & A
|
$33.57 |
+$0.01 |
3/3/2005 |
$29.40 |
+14.18% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
A long time
favorite. COH was first featured in the
December 2002 issue of
CANSLIM.net News at $8.50 (split adjusted) It was again
featured in the
September 2003 issue of CANSLIM.net News,
04/24/04 as CANSLIM.net
Stock Bulletin.
Continues acting well. (Split Adjusted 2:1) |
AEOS -
NASDAQ
American Eagle Outfittrs
RETAIL - Apparel Stores |
$30.64 |
-$1.17 |
3/2/2005 |
$57.69 |
-46.89% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Has been
steadily increasing since first appearing in CANSLIM.net.
Remains perched near highs. |
INFY -
NASDAQ
Infosys Technologies Ads
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Technical & System Software
|
$77.60 |
+$0.18 |
2/16/2005 |
$73.36 |
+5.78% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
First
featured on 09/01/04 in CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day BreakOuts Report
at $53.99 (Read
here) as it was breaking out on massive volume from a
decent base. It steadily advanced to a high of $78.48 before
its pulling back. Has since rebounded and remains perched
near its highs. |
DHI -
NYSE
D
R Horton Inc
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - Residential Construction
|
$37.61 |
+$0.17 |
2/4/2005 |
$43.19 |
-12.92% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Featured on
02/4/2005 in the
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report with a pivot point
of $42. Made minimum gains then gapped down several days and
tested its 200 DMA, although now sits just off of all time
highs. |
TS -
NYSE
Tenaris Sa Adr
METALS & MINING - Steel & Iron |
$78.27 |
-$1.21 |
2/2/2005 |
$52.17 |
+50.03% |
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
First
featured in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report on 02/02/05 near $52. Quickly ran
as high as $81. Now sits near all time highs. |
PHM -
NYSE
Pulte Homes Inc
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - Residential Construction
|
$84.25 |
+$1.01 |
2/1/2005 |
$66.92 |
+25.90% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
First
featured in a
CANLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report on 2/1/2005 at
$66.92. Quickly ran as high as $87.70. Now remains perched
near highs. |
BZH -
NYSE
Beazer Homes U S A Inc
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - Residential Construction
|
$57.15 |
+$0.04 |
2/1/2005 |
$51.00 |
+12.06% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
The leader
was featured on 02/01/05 (Read
here). It has advanced nicely since. Homebuilders have
been acting strong since 2001. |
CVH -
NYSE
Coventry Health Care Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Health Care Plans |
$70.75 |
-$0.99 |
1/31/2005 |
$56.57 |
+25.07% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This leader
was first featured on 08/02/04 in the
August 2004 issue of
CANSLIM.net News at $51.11 (Read
here) It experienced several days of high volume selling
that that quickly cut the price about 30% in 4 days. After
repairing that damage and then building another base it gapped
open on 01/31/05 prompting us to again highlight it as it
appeared in the CANSLIM.net Mid-Day BreakOuts Report (Read
here) that day at $56.57 (split adjusted). Since then,it
has been building a new base. |
QSII -
NASDAQ
Quality Systems Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Healthcare Information
Service |
$47.38 |
-$0.28 |
1/31/2005 |
$33.50 |
+41.43% |
C
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First
featured in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report on 1/31/2005 at $33.50 (split
adjusted) on a gap open. Issue has steadily advanced until
recently when it traded below its 50 DMA. |
NNI -
NYSE
Nelnet Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services |
$33.27 |
+$0.22 |
1/28/2005 |
$28.85 |
+15.32% |
C
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SEC,
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1/28/05 was
the first time we featured this leader (Read
here) as it gapped open from a flat base and continued
trading higher over the next several weeks producing a decent
gain. |
CDIS -
NASDAQ
Cal Dive International
ENERGY - Oil & Gas Equipment & Services |
$52.37 |
+$0.21 |
1/27/2005 |
$43.55 |
+20.25% |
C
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SEC,
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Recently
featured on 01/27/05 in a CANSLIM.net Mid-Day BreakOuts Report
here.
Also featured in the
February 2005 issue of
CANSLIM.net News. Made quick and steady gains and remains
perched near highs. |
ANF -
NYSE
Abercrombie & Fitch Co
RETAIL - Apparel Stores |
$68.70 |
-$0.68 |
1/6/2005 |
$49.24 |
+39.52% |
C
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StockTalk,
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SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Currently
basing after being featured in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report on 01/06/05 and again on
05/18/05. A break to new highs with volume would be
welcomed. |
SONC -
NASDAQ
Sonic Corp
LEISURE - Restaurants |
$30.53 |
-$0.02 |
1/4/2005 |
$31.50 |
-3.08% |
C
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StockTalk,
News,
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SEC,
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First
highlighted at $31.50 on 01/4/05 and has been basing since. |
VMSI -
NASDAQ
Ventana Medical Sys Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Medical Instruments & Supplies
|
$40.23 |
+$0.88 |
12/21/2004 |
$31.45 |
+27.92% |
C
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StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Featured in
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report on 12/21/05 at
$31.45 (2/1 split adjusted) and has rallied +29%
since. |
WWW -
NYSE
Wolverine World Wide Inc
CONSUMER NON-DURABLES - Textile - Apparel Footwear & A
|
$24.01 |
-$0.07 |
12/15/2004 |
$24.01 |
+0.00% |
C
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News,
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This issue
was featured on 12/15/04 with a pivot point of $21.77 and then
again at $24.01 on 06/07/05.
Read here: |
ASFI -
NASDAQ
Asta Funding Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES - Credit Services |
$27.78 |
-$0.49 |
12/1/2004 |
$21.96 |
+26.50% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
This stock
has rallied +28% since it was first featured
in CANSLIM.net's December 2004 news.
Read here: |
PRAA -
NASDAQ
Portfolio Recovery Assoc
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES - Business/Management Services
|
$42.02 |
-$0.13 |
11/15/2004 |
$36.36 |
+15.57% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
First
featured on 11/15/04 and has rallied nicely since.
|
KBH -
NYSE
K
B Home
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - Heavy Construction |
$76.23 |
+$1.14 |
11/9/2004 |
$63.21 |
+20.60% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Recently
featured in a CANSLIM.net Special Report on 5/20/05 (Read
here). Has continued moving higher since. |
MTH -
NYSE
Meritage Homes Corp
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - Residential Construction
|
$79.50 |
+$0.00 |
10/26/2004 |
$40.97 |
+94.04% |
C
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StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Featured on
10/26/2004 in this
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report at $40.97.
Continued advancing steadily upward. Recently announced a
public offering. |
STN -
NYSE
Station Casinos Inc
LEISURE - Resorts & Casinos |
$66.40 |
-$1.15 |
10/26/2004 |
$60.85 |
+9.12% |
C
A N
S L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
First
featured in the July 2004
issue of CANSLIM.net News at $48.40 and again in the
November 2004 issue plus
several times when it was at a new buy point in CANLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report. |
FRK -
NYSE
Florida Rock Inds Inc
MATERIALS & CONSTRUCTION - Cement |
$73.35 |
+$1.35 |
10/1/2004 |
$50.90 |
+44.11% |
C
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StockTalk,
News,
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Bullish
action prompted us to highlight this leader in
CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts Report on 10/1/2004. It
did pull back a bit in the days that followed yet not
considerably and overall continued to trend upward until the
end of Feb where it started consolidating. Recent action looks
great. |
ADSK -
NASDAQ
Autodesk Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Technical & System Software
|
$34.34 |
+$0.00 |
8/25/2004 |
$43.80 |
-21.60% |
C
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Recently
slipped below its 50 DMA. Has enjoyed impressive gains since
first being featured on 08/23/2004. |
BMHC -
NASDAQ
Building Materials Hldg
RETAIL - Home Improvement Stores |
$69.29 |
-$1.18 |
7/29/2004 |
$19.85 |
+249.07% |
C
A N
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StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Most
recently featured on 11/18/04 in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report. Continued moving upward since.
First featured back in 2004. Now sits near all time highs. |
IMGC -
NASDAQ
Intermagnetics Gen Corp
MANUFACTURING - Industrial Equipment & Compone
|
$30.76 |
-$0.12 |
7/13/2004 |
$23.67 |
+29.95% |
C
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StockTalk,
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Chart ,
SEC,
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Originally
featured at $23.67 (split adjusted) on 07/13/04 and has
rallied +30% since then.
|
PENN -
NASDAQ
Penn Natl Gaming Inc
LEISURE - Gaming Activities |
$36.50 |
-$0.11 |
6/24/2004 |
$32.16 |
+13.50% |
C
A N
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StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Status
changed from Green back to Yellow as stock has built a new
base. First featured on 6/24/04 at $16.08 (Split Adjusted).
Remains perched near highs. |
SWN -
NYSE
Southwestern Energy Co
ENERGY - Independent Oil & Gas |
$46.98 |
+$0.01 |
6/16/2004 |
$32.59 |
+44.15% |
C
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StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Featured on
6/16/2004 in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report near $13.5. Has made a steadily
advance since and now is above $45.
|
ISSC -
NASDAQ
Innovative Sltn & Supprt
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Business Software &
Services |
$33.57 |
+$0.05 |
5/3/2004 |
$18.73 |
+79.23% |
C
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StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
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Most
recently highlight in CANSLIM.net's
Mid-Day Breakouts Report 5/11/2005. Made an impressive
move the next morning to new highs yet then sold off on heavy
volume. Previously highlighted at $18.73 and featured in
05/03/04 CANSLIM.net Stock Bulletin.
|
JOSB -
NASDAQ
Jos A Bank Clothiers Inc
RETAIL - Apparel Stores |
$43.30 |
-$0.45 |
3/5/2004 |
$36.85 |
+17.50% |
C
A N
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I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
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This stock
has rallied +60% since first appearing on
CANSLIM.net's Special Report in August 2004.
Read Here: |
AMHC -
NASDAQ
American Healthways Inc
HEALTH SERVICES - Specialized Health Services |
$42.27 |
+$0.66 |
11/1/2003 |
$20.73 |
+103.91% |
C
A N
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I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
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This stock
first appeared in our November 2003 newsletter at 20.73 (split
adjusted) and has gone on to rally +110%
since. Read Here: |
CMTL -
NASDAQ
Comtech Telecomm Corp
TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Communication Equipment |
$32.63 |
-$1.01 |
10/1/2003 |
$16.04 |
+103.43% |
C
A N
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I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart ,
SEC,
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This stock
has rallied +103% since it was first featured
at $16.04 in the October 2003 issue of CANSLIM.net News.
Read here: |
|
L= Leader |
ET = Extended | BO = Break Out (new) | BV = Big Volume
NC = No Comment | F = Fundamentals
C = Current Quarterly Earnings Per Share | A = Annual Earnings Per
Share
S = Shares
Outstanding | I = Institutional Ownership
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SPECIAL |
ARTICLE |
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Charting with
Candlesticks – Part IV – Seeing Stars -
Prepared
by Frank E. Testa
We resume our series
on Candlestick Charting by analyzing the Morning Star pattern.
Unlike the prior candlesticks (Hammer, Hanging Man, Gravestone Doji,
Engulfing Patterns) that we have analyzed, the morning star consists
of a cluster of three candlesticks. However, like most candlestick
patterns, the morning star is a reversal pattern that will often alert
the astute investor to a possible change in trend.
Morning Star
The morning star
consists of three candlesticks with two large bodies (wide distance
between a stock’s open and closing price) separated by a small body
(little distance between a stock’s open and closing price) that does
not touch the body of the preceding candle. This pattern develops in
a downtrend and signifies that buyers are beginning to wrestle control
from the sellers. The evening star is a top reversal pattern and thus
takes place in an uptrend (this will be covered in a future article).
In a downtrend, a
large black candle (close is below the stock’s open) is followed by a
small real body. The small real body indicates that sellers are
losing the battle to drive the stock lower. The final candle of the
pattern is a long white body that penetrates deeply into the first
session’s black candle. This is an indication that the bulls have
seized control from the sellers. From a trading perspective, stops
can be placed right beneath the low of the pattern.
Since this reversal
pattern takes three candlesticks, it is possible that by the time the
formation is complete, the stock may have moved too far to offer an
attractive entry point. If this situation unfolds, it is recommended
to purchase the stock on a light volume pullback.
An
example of a Morning Star is presented below:

A bout of
profit-taking pushed shares of MGM Mirage (MGM) from the $42.50
level down to the $38.21 mark before buyers regained control.
The morning star pattern began to take shape on June 24th
with the issue falling -$0.91 to close at $39.25. On
the following session, MGM witnessed a bearish gap, opening at
$38.70 before closing at $38.83 while hitting a session
high of $39.30 and a low of $38.21. The completion of
the morning star pattern transpired on June 28th with the
stock experiencing a bullish gap up, opening at $39.23 before
closing at $39.83. In between, the stock traded in a $0.90
range, hitting an intra-day high of $40.13 and low of $39.23.
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MARKET |
SENSE |
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Hold or
Sell? -
Sleepless Nights with NITE -
Article by Soraya Nasrallah, Registered
Representative, Source Capital Group, Inc.
Members NASD/SIPC
Regular readers know that I
don’t usually write about individual stocks,
but I decided to walk you through the action in
a recent purchase I made.
This article will explain the action that
followed after my purchase on January 8, 2004. I
will explain some key reasons why I bought the
stock, and why I am currently having sleepless
nights over it.
I
purchased some shares of Knight Trading Group Cl
A (NasdaqNMS: NITE) at $15.53
based on the following criteria:
- Turn around
and great increases in earnings and sales
revenues over several quarterly comparisons
- EPS &
RS both above 80
- Stock
previously gapped up on 07/03/03 and
10/06/03, rising on high volume
- On 01/07/04
it cleared a two-month base on very large
volume
- Quality
mutual funds owning the stock have been
increasing every quarter (65 funds in
Mar ’03, 68 funds in Jun ‘03, 95
funds in Sep ‘03, 97 funds in Dec
‘03) according to Daily Graphs
- 0% debt (I
have found that many market winners have
this characteristic)
- 115 million
shares outstanding exceeds the 50 million
size I usually go for, but the supply of
shares is still small enough
- Meaningful
ownership interest held by Funds (21%)
and the company’s Management (14%)
- Great
leadership in numerous other broker/dealer
issues
From
01/08/04 to 01/21/04 the stock was acting great.
Then came some tough action, as
volatility is common around the release of
earnings news.
After NITE’s earnings release on
January 22nd it declined heavily, closing at its
low point on very large volume, yet the stock
bounced nicely off its 50-day moving average
line. At
least that made me feel good, because it meant
the stock was being supported by institutional
investors!
Additional selling action often tends to
be created when the 50-day line is violated.
For three more days NITE held up nicely
above its 50-day line. On 01/27/04 the broader
market started to fall, yet NITE continued to
stay above its 50 DMA.
On
the 28th the market was falling
again, and NITE sank and closed below its 50-day
line on near average volume. It was a tough day
for a lot of brokerage stocks, so I assumed the
damage in NITE was due to weakness in the
industry group.
My game plan was to sell if the volume
in NITE was 50% above average and its price
dropped 10% below my cost (which worked
out to be $13.98).
Since volume wasn’t very high I decided
to hold my position, but I would watch it very
closely and only continue to hold if in the days
immediately ahead it did not show more serious
deterioration.

On
Thursday the 29th, NITE traded down
intra-day to as low as $13.30, yet I
continued to hold as it reversed and closed near
its high for the day, ending the session only
two cents lower at $13.78.
On Friday the 30th it closed
up two cents on below average volume.
Conclusion:
I have decided to keep watching the price of
NITE and its corresponding volume very closely.
We don’t like to be incorrect with our
picks, but it is more important to preserve
one’s capital for the next idea.
O’Neil suggests that the proper
discipline is to always sell whenever a stock
falls 8% below your cost, so I know I am
taking a big chance, especially due to the
volatility of the markets. If NITE deteriorates
further on an increase in volume I will be
forced to sell.
It is important for NITE to soon repair
its 50 DMA violation, which it did in the not
too distant past.
Soraya
Nasrallah, obtained her Series 7 license in 1992, and
has served in the capacity of Sales Assistant, Head of
Operations Department, and Stockbroker. Contact Soraya Nasrallah via email at
snasrallah@sourcegrp.com or by phone at (954)785-1990 for assistance you with your portfolio. She will be pleased to offer ideas that suit your investment needs, and she can help you achieve the gains you have been searching for.
Miss Nasrallah has just introduced a new educational program
called StockWiz News! specifically created for
teenagers and novice investors, incorporating stock
market basics with CANSLIM in a colorful and picturesque
format. It is the perfect gift for those who just
don’t know much about the world of stocks and
investing!
Comments contained in the body of this report are technical opinions only and are not necessarily those of Source Capital Group, Inc. The material herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and customers may effect transactions, including transactions contrary to any recommendation herein, or have positions in the securities mentioned herein or options with respect thereto. Any recommendation contained in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities. Source Capital Group, Inc. is a
NASD/SIPC member firm.
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EDITOR'S |
LETTER
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Nation Freezing,
Consumer Stressing, Justification, and Welcome
Ah, halfway through winter and all is well. At least here is sunny Florida, anyway. The Northeast is dealing with a tremendous amount of snow, and there are unusually low temperatures across the country, some falling well below zero. My heart goes out to
the folks in cold places, not only for the sake of their comfort, but
also for their health and safety.
I welcome all of our new members! I am sure you will find our unique service very beneficial in
pinpointing good CANSLIM-based buy candidates as well as giving
you ongoing commentary from our staff of qualified experts in an educationally-based format. You will also notice
our strong commitment to customer service - you are encouraged to call in anytime with questions or concerns.
There has obviously been a good run for Telecom stocks. I
only wish my experience had been the same from the
perspective of a customer looking for service from these companies. I just moved into a beautiful two-story
town home when I quickly realized that the phone was not
working properly. There was so much static on the line,
I could barely get a dial tone.
More importantly - considering my business in
internet publishing - connecting to the internet was
impossible! I assumed a call to my provider to schedule a service call was all that was needed to remedy the situation; unfortunately that has not been the case.
My one simple demand on their customer service department
seems to be more than they could handle. Their ability to follow up as promised
proved utterly non-existent.
I decided that maybe I would step up and get a wireless PCMIA
card for my Tablet PC. After a quick review of various
pricing plans, I
elected to go with a very well known company that signed me up over the
phone. They stated the card I needed was on its way. Well, that was about three weeks ago and I
still haven’t received
any of the promised equipment. I did, however, promptly receive a
bill, despite the fact that I already had paid for everything over the phone with my credit card. I also have
received several letters from them, three or four so far. I don’t completely understand what they are trying to convey to me, as the letters don’t specifically say if I
even have the service of not. Each letter is identical, except for the date of course.
Overall, I've had a poor experience with Telecom from
the customer's standpoint.
With this newsletter deadline quickly approaching (and still no simple internet connection from
home) I
decided that the another alternative would be a walk across the street to a
competitor's store, buy the equipment directly, open the wireless account, and get on-line ASAP. Well, they didn’t have the card in stock as they were fresh
out.
When I returned to the store a few days later my item
was still out of stock, but they said they would overnight one to me and it would be in my hands by 10:30AM.
Given the poor experience I had previously, I wasn't
surprised to be calling them at 12:30PM to ask about
my network card's delivery. Finally, at 4:30PM, the card arrived.
Better late than never! After a short time on the phone with their customer service department
(to get help explaining what should have been made more obvious) I
was finally able to get myself online from home for the first time since moving into
the place 6 weeks ago.
Hurray!
We have been honing our services since 1997, and over
that time we
have developed several key reports that our experts
use to convey the most important market, investing, and individual stock information to our
members. As many of you now, we had a rate increase this month for
CANSLIM.net's StockNews annual membership fee from $79 to $199. Some may ask, “Why the
steep rate increase? Is it greed?” No. The reason for the rate increase is simple.
With the StockNews
Membership have
expanded upon our flagship 12-monthy issues of
CANSLIM.net News (which was $79 by itself). We
are now combining all of our services into one
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CANSLIM letter-by-letter. As a member you'll get every
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each, or discounted in bulk). We also include all CANSLIM.net Special Reports with titles such as “CANSLIM.net’s Top Ten Stocks or "CANSLIM.net's Stocks to Watch in This New Market",
while these separate reports previously sold for $39.95 each. We have also recently added our CANSLIM.net Stock Bulletins, concise reports on buy candidates that match up favorably with the winning CAN SLIM® models of the past.
Most recently, we added our CANSLIM.net Mid-Day BreakOuts reports that easily show you
some of the most buyable breakouts during each trading day. This report is a mechanical screen of our database of high-ranked stocks, and you should pay particular attention to the issues highlighted in
yellow as "Noteworthy". Finally, our new
daily CANSLIM.net After-Market Report gives members a concise market commentary, a review
of the major sector action, and updates on our most recently featured stocks. Add to this the fact that we have vastly expended our editorial and customer service
staff and upgraded our servers to handle the
job. The price of $199 per year is justified in my opinion, and I hope you will agree.
Please let me know if you have any questions, as I would be glad to assist you.
CANSLIM.net Newsdesk
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however, its accuracy and completeness can not be
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