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DOW 8,500.33 YTD -3.15%
| Nasdaq 1,774.33 YTD +12.51%
| S&P 500 919.14 YTD +1.76%
(As of 5/29/2009)
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CURRENT
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MARKET
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CONDITIONS |
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A review
of market conditions over the prior month - the important
"M" in
CAN SLIM®
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Next Move Wins As Indices Walk The Line
-
Adam Sarhan, Registered
Representative and Vice President of Investments with Source
Capital Group (Member FINRA,SIPC)
The major averages enjoyed
their third consecutive monthly advance in May,
continuing the longest and steepest rally since
the major averages peaked in October 2007 and the Bear
Market began. Interestingly, the last time market
averages enjoyed three consecutive winning months was in
the fall of 2007. The confirmed rally since the March
12, 2009 follow-through day has sent the tech-heavy
Nasdaq Composite Index soaring +40%,
the benchmark S&P 500 Index vaulting +38%,
and the Dow Jones Industrial Average +31%.
From the March low, the standout winner is the small cap
Russell 2000 Index, surging a stunning +46%!
As a result, each of the major averages have traced
out very sharp "V" shaped patterns with small (2-week)
handles. Normally, this kind of chart action is not a
sign of a healthy intermediate- or longer-term
sustainable rally. This rally remains intact,
however, leadership, a critical component of a
successful rally, has proven rather elusive while the
new highs list has been tightly contained.

PICTURED: The
monthly chart of the benchmark S&P 500 Index shows every
major bull and bear market over the past 10
years.
Political Data: B
The Obama administration
just celebrated its first 100 days
since its economic stimulus plan was signed. At this
point, the market and the economy have reacted very
positively to the package. Obama has had a very full
plate since taking office, and during the last week of
May he experienced his first real geopolitical threat.
On Memorial Day, when the US market was closed, North
Korea tested a nuclear weapon underground. It sent a
very strong message to the rest of the world that, by
the end of the week, North Korea tested six more
missiles. Some consider the actions, effectively, an
end to the 1953 armistice which suspended
hostilities between North
and South Korea and ended a very brutal war. Kim Jong
Il, the leader of North Korea, appears to be desperate.
To say the least, it will be very interesting to see how
the UN, China, and President Obama react to his
aggression. On the economic front, it is encouraging to
see the unprecedented
fiscal and monetary policy maneuvers by the Obama
administration over the past few months begin to take
effect. More encouraging, we have seen a slew of
economic and housing data suggesting that the brunt of
the recession is behind us (more on that below).
Economic Data: B
The market is telling us
that "not so bad" is the new "good" as the major
averages continue to react healthy to questionable
economic data. At the beginning of the month, the Labor
Department announced that US employers slashed
-539,000 jobs in April which was better than
the Street's forecast for over a -600,000
decline. The report showed that the unemployment rate
jumped to +8.9%, which was the highest
level since September 1983! April was the 16th
consecutive month of job cuts in the US which pushed
the total number of jobs lost during this recession
(which began in December 2007) to -5.7
million. This is the largest decline of any recession
going back to the Great Depression.
The ailing housing
sector, which has been in its own private
depression, began to show a few signs of continued
strength last month. The National Association of
Realtors said that purchases increased +2.9%
to an annual rate of 4.68 million which
matched forecasts. This was higher than the +4.55
million in March. The report showed that the median
price skidded -15% from a year earlier
which was the second-largest decline on record. A
separate report showed that the massive decline in home
values eased last quarter. The Mortgage Bankers
Association said mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures
surged to fresh record highs in the first quarter.
The S&P/Case- Shiller home-price index was released and
plunged a whopping -18.7% from March
2008. The measure tanked -19% in
January, which was the largest drop since data began in
2001. The market embraced the lackluster housing
data, which initially surprised many investors. The
housing paradox, as explained in the Market Commentary
section of the Tuesday, May 26, 2009 After Market Report
(read
here), simply states that lower housing prices will
spark demand since home prices are becoming more
affordable to the everyday buyer again. The belief
is that the lower housing prices, coupled with record
low mortgage rates, will help stem the decline and
possibly spark demand that, in turn, helps stabilize
prices.
Not all the news of late has been negative. The
Commerce Department reported that durable goods orders,
which are goods made to last at least three years, rose
+1.9% from the previous month after a
revised -2.1% decline in
March. Elsewhere, the National Association for Business
Economics (NABE) released a survey that showed the
US economy will begin to expand in the third
quarter. This has been the ongoing consensus since the
recession began, and +74% of economists
polled agree with that view. At the end of the month,
the government said that first quarter gross domestic
product (GDP) was revised up to a -5.7%
annualized decline from the initial estimate of a
-6.1% contraction. This was lower than
the consensus forecast for a -5.5%
decline. On the inflation front, the report's GDP price
index was revised to an annualized +2.8%,
which was lower than the initial estimate of
+2.9% jump. Until the market takes out its
March low, it believes that the brunt of this recession
has passed.
On that note, one of the largest victims of this violent
recession was General Motors Corp. (GM). At the end
of May, it was a foregone conclusion that GM would file
for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection as soon June 1.
Keep in mind that this is the same company who dominated
the business landscape for most of the 20th century and
who's name is included in the old axiom: "What is good
for GM is good for America." Not only did this recession
destroy the entire investment banking model as we once
knew it, it also brought the mighty GM to its knees.
From a contrarian's point of view, this means that the
end is getting closer.
Market Action
(Price, Volume & Leadership): B
The underlying health of the major averages has
improved markedly in recent weeks. However, high quality
leadership has yet to emerge. The vast majority of the
recent move was dominated by low-ranked stocks bouncing
from egregiously oversold levels. History shows us that
healthy bull markets begin when a new batch of high
quality leaders breakout powerfully from sound bases. At
this point, leadership is flimsy, as evidenced by the
IBD 100 Index (a great proxy for leading stocks) which
continues to woefully underperform the major averages.
A few leading stocks are working out, and some early
leaders in the rally are building second-stage bases.
Disciplined investors will look for fresh technical buy
signals to be triggered if they manage to break above
resistance in the next few weeks.
Turning our attention back to the major averages,
they spent the latter half of May consolidating near
their respective 200-day moving average (DMA)
lines. Looking forward, the next move wins, meaning
that if the market manages to breakout to the upside on
higher volume, then odds favor that even higher prices
will follow. Conversely, if support at recent lows is
breached and the major indices sink to new lows on
heavier volume, then even lower prices will be more
likely to follow. The ongoing Market Commentary will let
you know which of these two events occurs. Until either
support or resistance is breached, this sideways
consolidation may continue for many days or weeks. It is
also important to note that a series of ominous
distribution days have emerged over the past few weeks,
which is not a good sign. However, the market has
managed to shrug the institutional selling pressure off,
keeping the indices' rally intact. For now, the "M"
criteria essentially says that healthy leaders still
deserve the bullish benefit of the doubt.
Commodity markets surged last month as the dollar
plunged. While hope spread that the brunt of the
recession has passed, crude oil surged nearly
+30% last month. Investors who rotated funds
into crude-linked investments benefited as the dollar
plunged, with the impact of the currency weakness, and
the movement of money, both giving a hearty boost to oil
prices. Other commodities fared well as Silver and Gold
jumped +27% and +10%,
respectively. In today's world of 24
hour news and instant information, it is imperative to
follow markets outside of US equities for a complete
investment outlook.
Data concerning nearly every capital market in the
world is telling us that the economy may rebound in the
latter half of the year, and we would be fools to argue
with the tape. However, we should note that the equity
markets have already expressed this view. While the
major averages are currently encountering resistance
near their 200 DMA lines, on average, the volume
patterns (on weekly and monthly charts) have dried up as
the market advanced, which is not a good sign for the
near term. Caution is advised, and investors should
remain extremely selective with new buys.
Remember that the ongoing Bear Market is one of the
worst in history, and it has been 19
months since the major averages topped out (Oct '07).
Handle the decisions on a stock-by-stock basis, and if
you see the right kind of leadership begin to emerge,
take a small position and keep a close stop. Conversely,
if leadership does not emerge, do not force a trade.
Remaining patient and flexible has served us extremely
well over the years. As always, we will continue to
objectively analyze price and volume to better
understand the market's underlying health. Never argue
with the tape, and always keep your losses small.
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|
Adam
Sarhan is a Registered Representative and Vice President
of Investments with Source Capital Group (Member
FINRA,SIPC) and offers a suite of services for individual
and institutional investors. Mr. Sarhan earned a BA and MA
in Political Science from Florida Atlantic University and
he is well versed in capital markets. In addition, Mr.
Sarhan completed the CAN SLIM® Masters Program
presented by Investor's Business Daily. Investors with a
significant financial interest may inquire about opening
an account by calling the office locally at 954-785-1990
or 1-888-237-8399 or emailing to asarhan@sourcegrp.com.
Further information is always available upon request.
Contact us if you know anyone that may have an interest in
receiving this or any of our other products. |
|
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MARKET'S
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LEADING |
GROUPS |
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You stack the odds of making a winning
trade in your favor by choosing a leading company in a leading industry
group, so when buying stocks be sure to choose one with plenty of
company, that is a stock trading among a group of several
strong-performing peers! Familiarize yourself with
the list of the top performing industry groups and leading stocks
listed below. These symbols and related companies ARE NOT
intended to be construed as a list of timely and proper choices
based on the CAN SLIM® investment program.
These pace-setters in each of the currently top-ranked groups listed
may not presently fit within the guidelines we suggest adhering
to. The point is that it is always wise to choose leaders
in the same or a very similar business to that of the strongest
stocks in the market. Find companies that resemble other strong
stocks' leadership characteristics.
|
RANK |
GROUP
NAME |
GROUP LEADERS
SYMBOL ,% FROM 52WK HIGH (AS OF 5/29/2009
CLOSE), # OF DAYS MAKING NEW HIGHS ON THE LEADERS
LIST |
|
1 |
COMPUTER SOFTWARE AND
SERVICES |
CERN,
-2.9%,
6 |
QSII,
-19.5%,
4 |
SXCI,
-0.1%,
4 |
PEGA,
-4.2%,
3 |
SMSI,
-2.9%,
3 | HMSY,
-8.2%,
2 |
LFT,
-4.1%,
2 |
SNDA,
-0.7%,
2 | 3
ADDITIONAL ISSUES TOTALED ANOTHER 3 APPEARANCES
FOR A TOTAL OF 29 APPEARANCES FOR THIS GROUP. |
|
2 |
ELECTRONICS |
CUB, -2.1%,
8 |
ANEN, -2.4%,
5 |
NVEC, -7.0%,
5 |
FOR A TOTAL OF 15
APPEARANCES FOR THIS GROUP. |
|
3 |
DIVERSIFIED SERVICES |
LINC,
-9.6%,
4 |
CAST,
-3.7%,
2 |
CFL,
-4.5%,
2 |
URS,
-4.7%,
2 |
VPRT,
-4.3%,
2 |
FOR A TOTAL OF 12 APPEARANCES FOR THIS GROUP. |
|
4 |
COMPUTER HARDWARE |
STEC, -6.9%,
8 |
STAR, -1.2%,
2 |
TSRA, -5.5%,
0 |
FOR A TOTAL OF 10
APPEARANCES FOR THIS GROUP. |
|
4 |
FOOD / BEVERAGE |
HANS, -16.7%,
5 |
GMCR, -4.8%,
3 |
CVGW, -0.0%,
1 |
PAS, -0.1%,
1 |
FOR A TOTAL OF 10
APPEARANCES FOR THIS GROUP. |
|
6 |
MATERIALS AND
CONSTRUCTION |
MYRG,
-0.1%,
4 |
ORN,
-0.4%, 4 |
EME,
-37.7%,
2 | FOR A
TOTAL OF 8 APPEARANCES FOR THIS GROUP. |
|
6 |
WHOLESALE |
HWKN,
-0.2%,
4 |
INT,
-4.7%,
4 |
NRGP,
-3.8%,
0 | FOR A
TOTAL OF 8 APPEARANCES FOR THIS GROUP. |
|
8 |
METALS AND MINING |
IAG,
-1.3%,
7 |
DROOY,
-2.5%,
0 |
OPYGY,
-25.1%,
0 |
FOR A TOTAL OF 7 APPEARANCES FOR THIS GROUP. |
|
9 |
INTERNET |
NTES, -1.1%,
5 |
RAX, -3.2%,
1 |
BIDU, -27.1%,
0 |
FOR A TOTAL OF 6 APPEARANCES FOR THIS GROUP. |
|
10 |
RETAIL |
ARO,
-8.8%,
2 |
CTR,
-8.6%,
1 |
FUQI,
-5.4%,
1 |
PTRY,
-23.3%, 1 |
FOR A TOTAL OF 5 APPEARANCES FOR THIS GROUP. |
|
Notes:
- This is a list of
the strongest groups based on the total number of
new highs achieved in the group. For example, 1
stock making 10 new highs is the same as 10 stocks
making 1 new high.
- The source of the
data is the cumulative appearances on the CANSLIM.net
BreakOuts Page for the month.
- If there were less
than four stocks in the list of stocks making new
highs then the top stocks in that group were added
to the list.
- CANSLIM.net
News Staff
|
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SPECIAL
REPORT ON THIS MONTHS MARKET LEADING GROUPS SECTION |
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Market Leading Group Report for This Month
/ CANSLIM.net Staff |
One of the major
principles of the investment system we
support at CANSLIM.net is to concentrate buying
activities in the leading industries. Quoting
William J. O’Neil on Page 200 of "How to Make
Money in Stocks, A Winning System in Good Times
or Bad", it has been observed that “The
majority of leading stocks are usually in
leading industries. Studies show that
37% of a stock’s price movement is
directly tied to the performance of the industry
group the stock is in. Another 12%
is due to strength in the overall sector.”
The Market’s Leading
Groups (MLG) section of CANSLIM.net News is a
tool to help our members identify the industry
groups that have performed the best. This is a
monthly snapshot, and it considers the current
price performance from the strongest stocks on
the CANSLIM.net Leaders List over the past
month. We highlight the top groups by
recognizing the specific stocks reaching new
52-week highs. If the stocks identified
are close to their 52-week highs, one
can acknowledge a strong group, and one may be
wise to focus their attention on these strong
groups. Conversely, if stocks identified in the
MLG section are significantly off their
respective 52 week highs, one can conclude that
the group was strong at the beginning of the
month, but the group (and/or market) has been
losing favor - and should probably be avoided
until strength returns. CANSLIM.net members can
follow group performance daily in the newspaper
and by looking at the Industry Group Watch
section in the daily CANSLIM.net After-Market
Update.
Given the past
and current market conditions, a study of the
Market Leading Groups section now highlights
just how severe the lack of leadership in stocks
has truly been. In total, there were only
53 individual stocks from the
CANSLIM.net Leaders List making news highs
during the month of May for a total
135 occurrences after just 33
issues totaled 108 appearances in April. Generally, in a healthy
market environment, any group having a total of
only 29 appearances might
not even show up in the "Top 10"
groups. This is further proof of just how poor
the market performance has continued over the past month.
The above is
highlighted to illustrate that this section
should NOT be used for any buying considerations
at this time. CANSLIM.net continues to advise
caution in adding any new positions until the
market has a confirmed follow through day AND
there are some stocks making new 52 weeks highs
and exerting leadership in the market. While
investors are watching for new leadership, the
market's New Highs and New Lows totals are
highlighted each evening in the Market
Commentary portion of the CANSLIM.net
After-Market Update. The quality and quantity
of issues listed in the daily CANSLIM.net
Mid-Day BreakOuts Report is another
helpful indicator as to the overall market's
strength. Simply taking the few minutes to scan
the reports each day is all it takes to stay
informed. |
- CANSLIM.net
News Staff |
|
INVESTING
FOR THE NEW MILLENNIUM |
|
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Leadership Expansion Needed To Fuel A Healthy Summer
Rally
- Kenneth J.
Gruneisen,
CAN
SLIM®
Certified, Registered Principal, Source Capital Group,
Inc. (Members FINRA, SIP
A perfect
demonstration arguing that small cap
stocks can deliver more volatility and
potentially greater bang for investors'
bucks is provided by a quick study of the
percentage gains thus far in the major
averages as they have rallied up from their
Bear Market lows. The Small Cap Russell
2000 Index's +46% rally
certainly beats the blue chip Dow Jones
Industrial Average's (DJIA) +31%
rally! The RUT fell -60%
from Jul '07 to Mar '09, versus the DJIA
falling -54% from Oct '07
to Mar '09. You should already know that
small-cap stocks with exceptionally strong
earnings growth are the primary focus of
the investment system used by our team in
Lighthouse Point. While the major
averages spent the latter half of May
consolidating near their respective 200-day
moving average (DMA) lines, the technical
challenge that lies immediately ahead
is whether or not each of the major indices
can muster the strength to rally above
their respective 200 DMA lines. The Nasdaq
Composite Index is the only one of the three
major averages currently trading above that
important long-term average. The S&P 500
Index is the next index that appears
capable of rallying above its 200 DMA,
meanwhile the DJIA has more work to do
to get there. As a general rule, at least
2 of the 3
major averages should be trading above their
200 DMA lines for the overall market (the
M criteria) to be
considered "healthy", and leadership (stocks
making new highs) needs to expand. Another
important indicator for the market's health
includes the Advance/Decline lines. For
the Nasdaq exchange and even more so for the
NYSE, have been showing encouraging signs
since mentioned in the April INM article
(read
here).
Watching the major indices' action with
respect to their 200 DMA lines has provided
a most useful read on the market's health in
the past. During the current decade's first
Bear Market that trimmed about 50%
off the benchmark S&P 500 Index, in
mid-2001, military action against the
Taliban was among the concerns on the
landscape that made it difficult for
investors to place great confidence in
stocks. There was also an energy crisis
effecting California, with power blackouts
causing multi-billion dollar losses.
Technical glitches occasionally disrupted
trading on the exchanges, including a week
long shutdown of the markets following the
tragic events of 9/11/01. Comments from
President Bush occasionally stirred buying
interest in the equities market, such as
when he urged Congress to pass an economic
stimulus package. And the Fed was in the
middle of its most aggressive rate-cutting
campaign ever, which caused the occasional
"buying panic." Regardless of the
headlines, or the efforts of all the king's
horses and all the king's men, there was not
a very healthy market environment for
investors to work with until much later on,
when the major averages were finally making
headway above their 200 DMA lines.
Ultimately, investors will need to muster
a lot of courage to buy when the situations
may merit doing so. Companies must have the
ability to perform in the earnings
departments -where it counts the most!
Doubt still lingers as to whether any
sustainable upward move and Bull Market is
possible. Until more leadership is evident,
patience will be needed. Caution and
discipline are also critical. Meanwhile, any
subsequent distributional pressure showing
up in the major indices may soon give rise
to questions about the possibility of
equities retesting further into territory
near the lows set in March.
While some top rated stocks have already
managed to break out, many of the best
potential leaders are still in the process
of building out their bases. Over the next
several weeks one might expect more
definitive leadership to emerge. Much of the
risk has been wrung out of the market
through a horrible Bear Market, yet it is
still very important to remain disciplined
and be selective. Our aim is to be ready to
grab the best stocks as they break out of
sound bases, but before they are
over-extended from support and due for
pullbacks. Bargain hunting is discouraged,
because history has shown that odds of
success are greater when sticking with
high-ranked leaders. Rather than looking to
pick up beaten down companies in the
“damaged goods” category, keep a watch on
companies that are able to sustain and
extend their recent gains.
|
Kenneth
J. Gruneisen - Has successfully completed
the
CAN SLIM®
Certification Program. Mr. Gruneisen is
a Registered Principal and manages a Source
Capital Group (Member FINRA,SIPC) branch office
offering personalized assistance. Investors
with a significant financial interest in equities
may inquire about opening an account by calling
the office locally at (954) 785-1990 or 1-888-237-8399
or emailing to
kgruneisen@sourcegrp.com
Further information is always available upon
request. Contact us if you know anyone that
may have an interest in receiving this or any
of our other reports.
The recommendations
made by
CAN SLIM®
certified individuals are their own and may
not be attributed to the
CAN SLIM®
Certification Program, William O'Neil & Co.,
Investor's Business Daily or their affiliates.
The
CAN SLIM®
Certification
indicates only that the individual has successfully
completed the
CAN SLIM®
Certification Program.
CAN SLIM®,
William O'Neil & Co., Investor's Business Daily
and any of their affiliates are in no way responsible
for any loss or damage caused as a result of
the services provided by these individuals.
Comments contained
in the body of this report are technical opinions
only and are not necessarily those of Source
Capital Group, Inc. The material herein has
been obtained from sources believed to be reliable
and accurate, however, its accuracy and completeness
cannot be guaranteed. Our firm, employees, and
customers may effect transactions, including
transactions contrary to any recommendation
herein, or have positions in the securities
mentioned herein or options with respect thereto.
Any recommendation contained in this report
may not be suitable for all investors and it
is not to be deemed an offer or solicitation
on our part with respect to the purchase or
sale of any securities. Source Capital Group,
Inc. is a FINRA/SIPC member firm.
|
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Source Capital Group, Inc.
|
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Members FINRA/SIPC
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We Are:
- Securities Broker/Dealers
- Full Service Professionals
- Investment Bankers
- Ready to Assist You! |
We Offer:
- Stock & Bonds
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Kenneth J. Gruneisen 665 S.E. 10 Street, Suite 201 Deerfield Beach, FL 33441-5634
954-785-1990 1-888-237-8399
Email:
kgruneisen@sourcegrp.com
|
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|
STOCKS TO |
WATCH
IN THIS |
NEW
MARKET |
|
|
Our staff of experts analyzes and then compiles
these detailed summaries
of selected stocks which warrant further
investigation by investors. These stocks show strong
upside potential
based on the CAN
SLIM® investment
system.
Ideal buy candidates
are also identified for members throughout each month,
appearing in yellow in CANSLIM.net's Mid-Day Breakouts
Report, or occasionally featured in timely CANSLIM.net
Stock Bulletins which
are promptly
emailed to all members.
Pending News May Prompt Shakeout Worth
Watching
|
Shanda Interactive
Entertainment |
-
Adam Sarhan, Contributing Writer,
www.CANSLIM.net
|
|
Ticker Symbol:
SNDA (NASDAQ)
|
Industry Group:
Internet- Content
|
Shares Outstanding:
71,800,000
|
|
Price:
$57.62
5/29/2009
|
Day's Volume:
991,900
5/29/2009
|
Shares in Float:
23,000,000
|
|
52 Week High:
$58.00
5/29/2009
|
50-Day Average Volume:
1,249,600
|
Up/Down Volume Ratio:
1.5
|
|
Pivot Point:
$53.95
4/16/2009
(high
plus $0.10)
|
Pivot Point +5% = Max Buy Price:
$56.65
|
Web Address:
http://www.snda.com/
|
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CANSLIM.net Company
Profile
CANSLIM.net Company Profile:
Shanda Interactive
Entertainment Limited, an interactive entertainment
media company, operates online games. It was founded
in 1999 and is based in Shanghai, the People's
Republic of China. It offers a portfolio of
entertainment content, including massively
multi-player online role playing games. The
stock resides in the Internet-Content group which is
presently ranked 31st on the
197 Industry Groups list which is
inside the much-preferred top quartile of groups,
satisfing the L criteria. The
number of top-rated funds with an ownership interest
has grown from 42 funds in June
'08 to 67 funds as of March '09, an
encouraging sign of increasing institutional
interest (the I criteria).
Strong quarterly earnings growth satisfies the
C criteria. Its dip in 2006 is a
flaw which was previously noted as a concern in its
otherwise impressive and strong annual earnings
history (the A criteria). See
additional concerns below.
What to Look For and What to Look Out For:
The stock is currently
trading above its maximum buy price, and caution and
patience are suggested. SNDA is scheduled to report
earnings on Wednesday, June 3rd, after the close of
trading. Street estimates are mostly in the range
of 72-74 cents per share, and it
has a history of beating expectations. Near
earnings news, investors may expect that volume and
price action can be very volatile, and another
currently Featured Stock, Netease.com Inc (NTES) provides a
great recent example. It is important to remain
disciplined, and chasing it after its impressive
rally from $19.75 on December 1st
may not be a prudent move. Instead, look for this
stock to pullback and offer investors a chance to
accumulate shares below its maximum buy price ($56.65). Bear
in mind that it may eventually test important
near-term support at its 50-day moving average (DMA)
line, much the way Longtop Financial Technoogies Ltd
(LFT)
recently did (while maneuvering to offer shares)
after a comparable advance in the same timeframe.
This past week, Shanda said that, subject to SEC
clearance, it would offer shares in its online
gaming unit "as capital-markets conditions permit."
The number of shares the subsidiary will sell, and
price, were not yet determined.
Of the
few favorable looking leaders showing up in recent
CANSLIM.net reports, Chinese firms have obviously
enjoyed a heavy weighting. Caution is advised due
to the inherent risk of international exposure, as
geo-political news or events could prompt the entire
group of foreign stocks to suddenly trade
drastically down or up. While the current leadership
is noted in China-linked stocks, and it could be an
ongoing phenomenon; investors are reminded to make
disciplined buys and sells always. Mindray Medical
International Ltd. (MR)
and China Medical Technologies Inc. (CMED)
are two fine examples of former leaders hailing from
China. Both companies continued producing
impressive quarterly sales revenues and earnings
increases for a long time afterwards, but
they slumped badly since being dropped from the
CANSLIM.net Featured Stocks list in 2008.
Keep in
mind that much of a stock's success depends on the
broader market's (the M criteria)
ability to sustain a meaningful rally, otherwise
3 out of 4 stocks
are likely to struggle in the event that the latest
rally-attempt encounters more distributional
pressure. Confirming gains backed by more than the
minimum +50% above average volume
guideline would provide a reassuring "follow
through" that might reaffirm its recent breakout.
No overhead supply can hinder the stock's ability to
rally, which is an encouraging sign.
Technical Analysis: In
March it was noted in several mid-day reports as it
challenged and broke out above its January chart
highs near $34. From its stage
1 base breakout, it rallied
+56% before pausing to consolidate. The
stock spent a little over a month building its
second stage base ($46-54) before
its May 19th gain on heavy volume. That session's
close was off well off its high and below the pivot
point, which is considered a technical flaw in its
latest breakout, which has been followed by lighter
volume gains as the stock has gotten extended beyond
its "max buy" level.
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FEATURED
STOCKS
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MONTHLY |
REVIEW
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In the
table below you will find all of the noteworthy stocks
featured by CANSLIM.net in the prior month.
|
Symbol/Company Name/Industry Group
As of 5/29/2009 (Close)
|
Last
|
Chg |
Date Featured |
Price When Featured
(First) (Last) |
% Gain / Loss Since Feat. (First) (Last) |
Resources |
Monthly Summary Notes
As of 5/29/2009 (Close) |
GMCR -
NASDAQ
Green Mtn Coffee Roastrs
FOOD & BEVERAGE - Processed &
Packaged Goods |
$83.24 |
$0.95 |
1/1/2008
1/04/2009 |
$40.70
$39.09
|
+104.5%
+112.9%
|
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart,
SEC,
Zacks Reports
|
Posted a small gain on light volume
for its second best close ever. Recently consolidating in a
tight range with volume drying up, forming a possible advanced
"high tight flag" type pattern. A "breakaway gap" on 4/30/09
followed a strong quarterly financial report and news of a
partnership with Wal-Mart Stores. Traded up as much as
+123.59% since featured at $39.09 in
the January 2009 CANSLIM.net News (read
here). |
HMSY -
NASDAQ
H M S Holdings Corp
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES - Healthcare Information Service |
$35.15 |
$0.86 |
2/20/2009 |
$34.08
|
+3.1%
|
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart,
SEC,
Zacks Reports
|
Closed at its session high with a
gain on better volume. Volume totals have been drying up in
recent weeks while forming a downward sloping high handle.
Little overhead supply is there to act as resistance for this
Commercial Services - Healthcare firm. The group's Relative
Strength rank has slipped from A in March to a
D- now, which is a concern. Investors' odds are
usually better when choosing leaders within a leading industry
group. |
ILMN -
NASDAQ
Illumina Corp
DRUGS - Biotechnology |
$36.71 |
$0.88 |
5/03/2009 |
$38.14
|
-3.7% |
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart,
SEC,
Zacks Reports
|
Rallied to a close back above its 50
DMA line. Consolidating in a very tight trading range for nearly
3 months. This high-ranked stock has yet to
produce confirming gains above its pivot point to trigger a
proper technical buy signal. Recently featured in the May 2009
issue of CANSLIM.net News (read
here). |
LFT -
NYSE
Longtop Financial Tech Ads
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES -
Business Software & Services |
$27.56 |
$0.11 |
4/02/2009 |
$22.19
|
+24.2%
|
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart,
SEC,
Zacks Reports
|
Held its ground following a gap up
and considerable gain on the prior session after reporting
another strong quarter. Prompt repair of its recent 50 DMA line
violation, and its gap up, are indicative of solid institutional
(the I criteria) support and buying demand.
This Chinese Computer Software firm recently filed a
registration of approximately 16 million shares
for resale, and it also revealed a planned acquisition of
another Chinese service provider. |
NFLX -
NASDAQ
Netflix Inc
SPECIALTY RETAIL - Music & Video
Stores |
$39.42 |
$0.88 |
1/29/2009 |
$37.13
|
+6.2%
|
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart,
SEC,
Zacks Reports
|
It has been struggling under its 50
DMA line for 3 weeks, since earlier technical
sell signals were noted. It needs to rally above that important
short-term average for its outlook to improve. Posted gains of
as much as +35.31% since it was first featured
in yellow at $37.13 in the 1/29/09 CANSLIM.net
Mid-Day Breakouts Report (read
here). |
NTES -
NASDAQ
Netease.Com Inc Adr
INTERNET - Internet Information Providers |
$34.58 |
$0.33 |
3/31/2009 |
$26.75
|
+29.3%
|
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart,
SEC,
Zacks Reports |
Inched to another new all-time high
just above its "max buy" level. Its 5/28/09 gap up and
considerable gain with +79% above average
volume confirmed a technical buy signal as it rose above its
pivot point. Indications of institutional (the I
criteria) buying demand have been noted after earnings news on
5/20/09 a shakeout tested support near its 50 DMA line. First
featured at $26.75 in the 3/31/09 CANSLIM.net
Mid-Day Breakouts Report (read
here). This high-ranked Chinese Internet - Content firm was
also summarized in greater detail including an annotated graph
in the April 2009 issue of CANSLIM.net News (read
here). |
NVEC -
NASDAQ
N V E Corp
ELECTRONICS - Semiconductor -
Specialized |
$40.00 |
$0.86 |
3/13/2009 |
$33.85
|
+18.2%
|
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart,
SEC,
Zacks Reports
|
Quietly consolidating above
important support at its 50 DMA line. It stalled following a
5/07/09 gap up and new 52-week high. Earnings per share rose
+38% over the year ago period, yet sales were
up just +14% and still rather minuscule. |
SYNA -
NASDAQ
Synaptics Inc
COMPUTER SOFTWARE & SERVICES -
Information Technology Service |
$35.12 |
$0.03 |
5/18/2009
|
$32.58
|
+7.8%
|
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart,
SEC,
Zacks Reports
|
Consolidating under its "max buy"
level following gains on heavier volume. No resistance remains
due to overhead supply. First featured in yellow in the May 18,
2009 mid-day report (read
here). The number of top-rated funds owning its shares rose
from 123 in June '08 to 184 in
March '09, which is good news concerning the I
criteria. Strong earnings and sales revenues growth in the
4 latest quarterly comparisons satisfies the
C criteria. Its annual earnings (the A
criteria) history showed a dowturn in 2006, leaving concerns,
but it followed that up with strong growth the next 2
years. |
TNDM -
NASDAQ
Neutral Tandem Inc
TELECOMMUNICATIONS Wireless
Communications |
$29.00 |
$0.10 |
3/2/2009
|
$18.89
|
+53.5%
|
C
A N
S
L
I M,
StockTalk,
News,
Chart,
SEC,
Zacks Reports
|
Perched near all-time highs, it
recently found support near its 50 DMA line. Impressive
"positive reversal" on 5/14/09 was noted as a sign of
institutional support. A new confirming buy signal requires
gains above its pivot point backed by heavy volume. Gapped up on
4/30/09 for a new all-time high after reporting solid quarterly
sales and earnings increases. Traded up as much as
+58.02% since first featured at $18.89
in the 3/02/09 Mid-Day BreakOuts Report (read
here). |
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EDITOR'S |
LETTER
|
|
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Keeping Up-To-Date
- Frank DeBold
DON'T MISS CANSLIM.NET'S 2ND QUARTER 2009
CANSLIM.net WEBCAST
We are proud to announce that Adam Sarhan will
soon present the next quarterly CANSLIM.net
Webcast for Q2 2009 – “How to Navigate During
Volatile Times”, which is scheduled for
Wednesday, June 24, 2009, from 8 to 9 PM,
Eastern Standard Time. Note that participation
in CANSLIM.net Webcasts does require a purchase
in addition to your active membership, and you
are invited to enjoy special "early bird"
savings by securing your seat now (click
here).
Mr. Sarhan, who has completed the Masters
program, will be sharing much of his valuable
expertise with all participants during this
information-packed event. This is another
opportunity to improve your mastery and build
upon your existing knowledge of successful
investing techniques. The seminar includes
educational content to familiarize you with the
skills and important tools for utilizing this
proven investment program in today’s market. The
WebCast also includes detailed analysis of the
current market conditions, leading industry
groups, and leading stocks.
The WebCast will begin by focusing on the
overall market environment and what it means for
you. This section addresses the all-important
“M” with information you can use for successful
investing! The current market conditions portion
will discuss the five major indices that are
followed each day in CANSLIM.net reports;
namely, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the
Nasdaq Composite, the S&P 500 Index, the S&P
Small Cap 600 Index, and the Russell 2000. In
addition, the S&P 400 Mid Cap Index will be
included, as it is yet another important index.
Also included will be a discussion of the
current leading industry groups focusing on
timely and pertinent information you can use!
This will be followed by a discussion of several
of the best current buy candidates from the
leading groups with a detailed analysis, both
fundamental and technical, for the selected
stocks. As usual, we will discuss the pivot
points and specific buy and sell signals for
each of these stocks. Presented in this way, you
will be able to follow and better understand
what the experts look at and look for when
selecting a stock to be featured in CANSLIM.net
reports. Lastly, there will be a "Question &
Answer" venue with your specific investing
questions answered by CANSLIM.net's experts.
This online WebCast will be presented via a
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and a complete recorded version will allow folks
with conflicting schedules to view the
presentation in its entirety.
GET YOUR FREE COPY OF WILLIAM J. O’NEIL's NEW
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William J. O’Neil’s new edition of “How To Make
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